The Casillas family enjoys their new life in Porto

 

Iker Casillas continues to leave details of their new life in Porto through social networks. The family is increasingly adapted to Portugal and proof of this is this image that Casillas shared, where Sara Carbonero enjoy an afternoon of beach with little Martin Casillas. 

It turns out that the readers of the American newspaper "USA Today" Porto have just elected as the most romantic destination in the world. And no wonder, as they are probably checking Iker Casillas and Sara Carbonero in your new life in northern Portugal. Walking along the Douro River and its mouth in the Atlantic Ocean confirms expectations. 

And there, five kilometers from the city center, the exclusive area of Foz, stronghold of the residence rented by former Real Madrid goalkeeper and journalist on leave of Tele 5.

Rosenborg - Steaua / X2 double chance (2.20)

Take this as an intuition but i have some reasons also...

BIG BIG value on Steaua double chance and straight win, I tipped Rosenborg to win and Steaua not to score in first leg but now Stanciu is back and finally Steaua played something, without Tahar that was left out of the squad and Hamroun, Alcenat, Breeveld and goalkeeper Cojocaru missed first 11 because their game was very poor.. and thanks God that was a good decision. It was a tough match against CSU Craiova but they managed to win in the final minutes of the match.

I saw other team spirit and motivation that i'm sure it will continue in the second leg of the Europa-League play-off and will fight until the final whistle against Rosenborg. We all know that Norwagians lead with 3-0 and i dont see them winning again, i have more reasons to believe so. Steaua plays better away from home, first eleven will finally be without the "dead-hands" that killed the first leg. Papp and Hamroun are injured.

Stanciu will play and thats a big plus. Norway champions will be more carefull because they know that Steaua has better players and imo they will defend waiting for counters.

I'm sure Rosenborg will not chase to win because even with a 2-0 or 2-1 loss they will still qualify. I post now because odds will drop until the first whistle. So chase for the value.

20 units on this one.

Rosenborg - Steaua / X2 double chance (2.20) 10/10

Rosenborg - Steaua / Steaua +0 AH (3.40) 5/10

or you can bet the following:

Steaua to score Over 1.5 @3.3

Steaua to score over 2.5 @9.5

Rose - Steaua Over 6.5 @33

Rosenborg BK: De Lanlay (4/0 f), Reginiussen (1/0 d)

Steaua Bucuresti: Papp (4/0 d, doubtful), Hamroun (5/1 m), Neagu (2/0 m, went on loan)

CSKA Moscova - Sporting Lisabona

Sporting is missing left back Jefferson while top player William Carvalho is a long time absentee. 

Sporting is a meaningless team when it comes to european competitions. The situation could be diferent this year as Jorge Jesus is supposed to give them a boost. However Jorge Jesus has a very turbulent record in Champions League. He is known for messing things up, big time.

The portuguese press says that Aquilani might start, changing the system to 4-3-2-1 with the triangle in the midfield inverted. So, this might be "deja vu" all over the place.

The portuguese press also worte a lot about the brothers Berezutski and Ignashevich saying the played in Lisbon in the Europa League final 10 years ago when they beat Sporting. They say they are slow and old...Slutski highlighted that situation saying it is true...and that's why he has been rotating their centre backs.

It can also be wisdom...inviting Sporting to open their play.

I think the game will be interesting. Both teams are similar in quality. Home factor and experience should prevail. 

CSKA -0.25 1.90.

Considering the first leg result and from what I saw, I believe that despite the not so high odds there is still some value in a bet for "BTS". 

In my opinion CSKA will easily score here and this automatically means that Sporting must score as well, if they want to keep their hopes for a group stage entry. Both teams have better attackers than defenders (in my opinion) and I recommend "BTS" as a bet for the game.

Bet: Both teams to score - Yes. 

Odds: 1.67 @ bet365

Stake: (8/10)

APOEL - FC Astana

After watching both Astana and APOEL, I have no doubt that APOEL is the better team. Their performances have been below par and not sure is it because all the the new players or the manager but I have been waiting for them to click. They finally did on Saturday after they beat Ermis 1-5 in the league. 

Ok, Ermis was not ready for this match as they have signed 23 new players this season including 6 during last week but psychologically a team that should score goals is not scoring and then does 5 times in a match usually opens the flood gates. Especially for Stilic and Luis Leal it was a big thing.

On paper, APOEL has a much stronger team than last season with maybe the left back position being the exception. It takes time to gel with a new manager and players and they will get better after each match. In these matches European experience goes a long way and APOEL has that. Also its Astana now who has to make the long trip to Cyprus. I also feel that the motivation is on APOEL´s side. They really want to make it back to Champions League group stages. I am not saying Astana does not but they are already in the Europa League group stages guaranteed so they have already reached their goal. Getting to CL is just extra.

I am convinced that they can beat Astana by at least 2 goals and go through. I would be even more convinced if Vander would be available and he still might but it is a race against time that one. Makrides was able to train with the team so he should be fit for this match.

APOEL will try for the 4th time in their history to be in the Champions League group stage while for Astana it will be the 1st.

The first game in Kazakhstan can be divided in several parts. The first 20 minutes were all Astana. APOEL entered the field with a pathetic approach and Astana took an early lead. Of course, 1 minute before Astana scored, APOEL had a penalty not given.

After 20 minutes and until the end of first half, Astana gave space to APOEL but the wrong decisions of coach Pacienza at the starting lineup didn't help APOEL to become dangerous.

At the second half, until 65-70 APOEL was all over Astana but they weren't really dangerous except 1-2 cases. The injury of Efrem balanced the game and at the last 20 minutes Astana was really dangerous on counter attacks and could at least scored another one.

The first game gave me the impression that APOEL is a bit better team than Astana. They have better individuals but they are not 100 "team" yet. Astana has some excellent individuals but most importantly they all defend and attack like a team, so this balances every disadvantage they have.

As guys already mentioned, APOEL had a good win against Ermis on Saturday which will help some players self-confidence like Leal and Stilic.

The coach of Astana is a good tactician and knows how to treat this game, so tactically coach Pacienza needs finally to be tactically perfect if APOEL wants to enter the group stage.

I rate the odds for HW around 1.90 fair so it is a no bet for me. Also, i am a bit pessimist regarding APOEL's chances to keep a clean sheet. They conceded at least 1 goal at 5/7 of their official games. Astana has good players upfront especially Foxy, Dzhoichiev and striker Kabananga who looked dangerous in the 20 minutes he played. So bettingwise, i could recommend G/G.

Personally, i will be romantic and bet on 3-1 correct score. APOEL managed their two first qualifications in Champions League with this score after having lost the first leg 1-0 (against FC Copenhagen and Wisla Krakow).

Partizan Belgrad - Bate Borisov

Partizan had two great chances in first leg. Both missed from A. Zivkovic. Bate scored from one real chance. 

Partizan played well in first half. Bate dominated the game in second half imo. It was important factor red card for Jeftovic at the end of first half. 

Partizan rested some of their best players. A. Zivkovic, D. Brasanac, V. Bozinov, Oumaru, Vulicevic against Borac Cacak for the weekend . Fabricio played only first half. 

 I dont have info about Bate's game for the weekend, only that they demolish Neman and rested seven players. 

I am expecting home win and goals here. Partizan will attack, and if they score early, we can see open game. Bate can score for sure in Belgrade. Stadium is sold out. About 30000 fans are expected. 

  Partizan win 2.10 @Bet365 5/10 Over 2,5 2.51@ Pinnacle 3/10

Guides of the playoffs of the Champions League for today!

Basel x Maccabi Tel Aviv: The two teams have met the preliminary stages of the Champions League in 2013. At the time, the Swiss took the lead against the Israelites. The luck of the Maccabi may be different this time, or the traditional Basel, which, in the latest issue, knocked out Liverpool, will again make nice? BET: 1

Celtic x Malmo: The confrontation, which promises to move the route of national champions, involves two teams that have already decided the biggest competition in the world clubs. Celtic was champion in 1967 and was vice Malmö in 1979. The two can return to the glory days? BET 1

Rapid Vienna x Shakhtar Donetsk: Two traditional teams had to sweat to reach the last stage before groups will duel for the vacancy. Rapid Vienna stunned the champion Ajax, while Shakhtar became the favourite Fenerbahçe. BET: over 2.5

Skënderbeu Korçë x Dinamo Zagreb: None duel involves a national domain larger than Skënderbeu and Dinamo Zagreb, which puts face to face five-time champion the Albanian and Croatian leagues. Now both want to show their strength away from their fields and raise larger flights on the continent. BET: 2

Valencia x Monaco: Another clash involving two former finalists, Valencia and Monaco are also fighting to the end for a place in the group stage. The two teams have a best result, second place. Could you to improve retrospect? BET: 1