Ce pariem astazi din Liga Campionilor?

Noi dueluri sunt programate miercuri seara in UEFA Champions League: Sevilla - Leicester City si Porto - Juventus. Daca in primul caz spaniolii sunt considerati in mod clar favoriti (cota 1,40 pentru victorie, fata de cota 9,00 pentru meci castigat de britanici), in meciul din Portugalia echilibrul pare sa fie cuvantul care descrie cel mai bine situatia.

Juventus este lider in Serie A, avand cu 7 puncte mai mult decat echipa de pe locul secund. Italienii au 7 victorii in ultimele 7 meciuri, deci se bucura de o forma excelenta. In ultima etapa de campionat, Juventus a trecut cu 4-1 de Palermo. Tinand cont de aceste evolutii, Juventus are mai multe sanse de a se impune pe tabela - cota 2,25 la casa de pariuri online Unibet.

In acelasi timp, nici Porto nu este deloc o echipa usor de invins. In prima liga din Portugalia, echipa ocupa locul 2, la doar un punct distanta de liderul Benfica. Porto a invins Tondela in ultima etapa, scor 4-0. Cota sa pentru victorie in meciul de miercuri seara este 3,75. Mai putin riscant ar fi un pariu pe faptul ca Porto nu pierde jocul - cota 1,70 pentru varianta care acopera si un scor egal. Un meci echilibrat, cu doua echipe ofensive, ar putea insemna si goluri... de ambele parti! Merita analizata si posibilitatea de a paria pe situatia in care ambele formatii inscriu - cota 2,02.

Leicester City are nevoie de un joc bun la Sevilla, eventual macar o infrangere la limita, pe care sa o poata intoarce in retur. Revelatia sezonului trecut din Premier League are un parcurs extrem de slab acum in campionat, acolo unde este la doar doua puncte distanta de ultima clasata. Cu toate acestea, Leicester City a avut o evolutie foarte buna in Champions League, unde a castigat grupa, clasandu-se peste FC Porto.

Sevilla se afla pe locul 3 in prima liga din Spania, la trei puncte distanta de liderul din La Liga, Real Madrid. In ultima etapa de campionat, Sevilla a invins cu 2 la 0 pe Eibar, echipa de pe locul 7. Este foarte putin probabil ca Sevilla sa rateze victoria miercuri seara, mai degraba se pot cauta cote de pariuri legate de scor sau de evolutia din teren.

Spre exemplu, un pariu posibil este cel pe pauza / final - 1/1 - cota 2,04, adica pe faptul ca Sevilla conduce la pauza si castiga meciul. Pe durata disputarii celor doua partide se pot plasa inclusiv pariuri live la casa de pariuri online Unibet.

CSKA Moscova - Sporting Lisabona

Sporting is missing left back Jefferson while top player William Carvalho is a long time absentee. 

Sporting is a meaningless team when it comes to european competitions. The situation could be diferent this year as Jorge Jesus is supposed to give them a boost. However Jorge Jesus has a very turbulent record in Champions League. He is known for messing things up, big time.

The portuguese press says that Aquilani might start, changing the system to 4-3-2-1 with the triangle in the midfield inverted. So, this might be "deja vu" all over the place.

The portuguese press also worte a lot about the brothers Berezutski and Ignashevich saying the played in Lisbon in the Europa League final 10 years ago when they beat Sporting. They say they are slow and old...Slutski highlighted that situation saying it is true...and that's why he has been rotating their centre backs.

It can also be wisdom...inviting Sporting to open their play.

I think the game will be interesting. Both teams are similar in quality. Home factor and experience should prevail. 

CSKA -0.25 1.90.

Considering the first leg result and from what I saw, I believe that despite the not so high odds there is still some value in a bet for "BTS". 

In my opinion CSKA will easily score here and this automatically means that Sporting must score as well, if they want to keep their hopes for a group stage entry. Both teams have better attackers than defenders (in my opinion) and I recommend "BTS" as a bet for the game.

Bet: Both teams to score - Yes. 

Odds: 1.67 @ bet365

Stake: (8/10)

APOEL - FC Astana

After watching both Astana and APOEL, I have no doubt that APOEL is the better team. Their performances have been below par and not sure is it because all the the new players or the manager but I have been waiting for them to click. They finally did on Saturday after they beat Ermis 1-5 in the league. 

Ok, Ermis was not ready for this match as they have signed 23 new players this season including 6 during last week but psychologically a team that should score goals is not scoring and then does 5 times in a match usually opens the flood gates. Especially for Stilic and Luis Leal it was a big thing.

On paper, APOEL has a much stronger team than last season with maybe the left back position being the exception. It takes time to gel with a new manager and players and they will get better after each match. In these matches European experience goes a long way and APOEL has that. Also its Astana now who has to make the long trip to Cyprus. I also feel that the motivation is on APOEL´s side. They really want to make it back to Champions League group stages. I am not saying Astana does not but they are already in the Europa League group stages guaranteed so they have already reached their goal. Getting to CL is just extra.

I am convinced that they can beat Astana by at least 2 goals and go through. I would be even more convinced if Vander would be available and he still might but it is a race against time that one. Makrides was able to train with the team so he should be fit for this match.

APOEL will try for the 4th time in their history to be in the Champions League group stage while for Astana it will be the 1st.

The first game in Kazakhstan can be divided in several parts. The first 20 minutes were all Astana. APOEL entered the field with a pathetic approach and Astana took an early lead. Of course, 1 minute before Astana scored, APOEL had a penalty not given.

After 20 minutes and until the end of first half, Astana gave space to APOEL but the wrong decisions of coach Pacienza at the starting lineup didn't help APOEL to become dangerous.

At the second half, until 65-70 APOEL was all over Astana but they weren't really dangerous except 1-2 cases. The injury of Efrem balanced the game and at the last 20 minutes Astana was really dangerous on counter attacks and could at least scored another one.

The first game gave me the impression that APOEL is a bit better team than Astana. They have better individuals but they are not 100 "team" yet. Astana has some excellent individuals but most importantly they all defend and attack like a team, so this balances every disadvantage they have.

As guys already mentioned, APOEL had a good win against Ermis on Saturday which will help some players self-confidence like Leal and Stilic.

The coach of Astana is a good tactician and knows how to treat this game, so tactically coach Pacienza needs finally to be tactically perfect if APOEL wants to enter the group stage.

I rate the odds for HW around 1.90 fair so it is a no bet for me. Also, i am a bit pessimist regarding APOEL's chances to keep a clean sheet. They conceded at least 1 goal at 5/7 of their official games. Astana has good players upfront especially Foxy, Dzhoichiev and striker Kabananga who looked dangerous in the 20 minutes he played. So bettingwise, i could recommend G/G.

Personally, i will be romantic and bet on 3-1 correct score. APOEL managed their two first qualifications in Champions League with this score after having lost the first leg 1-0 (against FC Copenhagen and Wisla Krakow).

Partizan Belgrad - Bate Borisov

Partizan had two great chances in first leg. Both missed from A. Zivkovic. Bate scored from one real chance. 

Partizan played well in first half. Bate dominated the game in second half imo. It was important factor red card for Jeftovic at the end of first half. 

Partizan rested some of their best players. A. Zivkovic, D. Brasanac, V. Bozinov, Oumaru, Vulicevic against Borac Cacak for the weekend . Fabricio played only first half. 

 I dont have info about Bate's game for the weekend, only that they demolish Neman and rested seven players. 

I am expecting home win and goals here. Partizan will attack, and if they score early, we can see open game. Bate can score for sure in Belgrade. Stadium is sold out. About 30000 fans are expected. 

  Partizan win 2.10 @Bet365 5/10 Over 2,5 2.51@ Pinnacle 3/10

Champions League preliminaries. Odds and predictions

Milsami-Skenderbeu  (19.00) 

The Milsami will play this match in Chisinau (thus not in their own stadium) and will have some defections (Surdu Slivca and Gheti unavailable while Cojocari disqualified) comes from an unexpected next round against the Ludogorets where he demonstrated a very compact team. The Skenderbeu is the best team in Albania for many years , the president has promised a rich reward qualifying it comes to 500,000 euro, will miss two defenders very important for this challenge Osmani and Arapi, in contrast between midfield and attack, there will be two great elements as the Kosovar Berisha and veteran Salihi. We believe in an even match. 

Our prediction: the first time X @ 2.00 / X final @ 3.5

Fenerbahce-Shakhtar D.  (20.00)

Fenerbahce has been fully re-established after the last disappointing season, came level players like Nani, Van Persie, Kjaer, Ba and Fabiano and a few revelations of the championship turkish as Sener and Fernandao, change even on the bench where it came Portuguese Viktor Pereira not regret certainly all'Olympiakos questionable choice for molti.La defense seems the weak point of Fenerbahce, and it will take time before you find the right combination. Shakhtar also changed some elements, including the heaviest losses are Douglas Costa and Luiz Adriano, but the team Lucescu plays fast and technically I think it is still higher, but even here there will be a lot of caution from both sides.

Our prediction: X the first time @ 2:05 alternatively under 2.5 @ 1.65

Videoton-Bate Borisov  (20.30)

Videoton is going through a very complicated start to the season, playing badly and seems in a rather rough form. It lost the Super Cup 3-0 against Ferencvaros of Hungary despite superior numbers for more than one hour, and lost the first league against Haladas third last last season.Bate now we know it all, the Belarusians are a constant of the last Champions, there are no particular news to report, we believe the odds in favor of the guests.

Our prediction: 2 @ 2:50 for those who want to be more cautious X2 @ 1:40

Panathinaikos-Brugge (20.00)

Panathinaikos has so far played only friendly with mixed results, the last test against Udinese has certainly shone and resurfaced the defensive shortcomings that have characterised the last season.The climate factor can impact: it comes to temperatures around 40 ° in Athens , and it will be played in the evening, but the heat will be the master. Brugge with many problems both training (will made ​​the defense holder ), that game, including friendlies, Super Cup and the league have played 5 games with the meager 2 draws and 3 defeats (Super Cup and first of the season). The forecast is in favour of the Greeks.

Our prediction: 1X @ 1:35 for those who dare 1 @ 2:45

# 1

Milsami-X Skenderbeu first time @ 2:00

Fenerbahce-Shakhtar DX first time @ 2:05

Videoton-Bate Borisov X2 @ 1:40

Panathinaikos-Brugge 1X @ 1:35

With 10 euro can be won about 80 

# 2

Milsami-Skenderbeu X @ 03.05

Fenerbahce-Shakhtar D under 2.5 @ 1.65

Videoton FC Bate Borisov-2 @ 2:50

Panathinaikos-Brugge 1 @ 2:45

With 10 euro can be won over 300